统计研究 ›› 2023, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (1): 90-105.doi: 10.19343/j.cnki.11–1302/c.2023.01.008

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我国多区域投入产出表的数据质量评估问题研究

郑正喜 黄祖南 周 融   

  • 出版日期:2023-01-25 发布日期:2023-01-16

Study on the Accuracy Assessment of China’s Multi-Regional Input-Output Tables

Zheng Zhengxi Huang Zunan Zhou Rong   

  • Online:2023-01-25 Published:2023-01-16

摘要: 近几十年来,多区域投入产出表的开发和应用推动了投入产出研究领域的重要进展,但如何评估其数据质量的问题仍未得到有效解决。鉴于此,本文首先从理论角度剖析多区域表与单区域表之间的数据关联,结合实际数据考察国内多区域表与官方数据的衔接情况,发现不同多区域表在不同指标上的数据衔接能力存在明显差异;通过对数据质量评估问题的多方位探讨,基于强化多区域表核算功能的视角提出了一种相对有效的评估思路,并设计了相应的量化评估方案;最后,从指标和地区两个角度对部分已有的国内多区域表进行评估实证,并结合开发特点综合比较这些多区域表的整体评估结果和局部结构特征。本研究对多区域投入产出表的数据开发、管理和应用具有一定的参考和助益。

关键词: 多区域投入产出表, 核算功能, 数据质量, 评估方案

Abstract: In recent decades, the constructions and applications of Multi-Regional Input-Output Table (MRIO) have led to important progress in the field of input-output analysis, but the problem of how to assess the accuracy of MRIOs remains unsolved. In view of this, this paper firstly discusses the theoretical association between the data of MRIO and single-area IO table, examines the consistency between domestic MRIOs and official data, and finds that the performance of data consistency varies among different MRIOs and different indicators. Then we suggest that the degree of consistency or inconsistency can serve as an effective criterion for the accuracy assessment in consideration of the accounting function of MRIO after a multi-directional discussion on the basic issue of accuracy assessment, and design a quantitative evaluation scheme correspondingly. Finally, several existing Chinese MRIOs are examined, and results are illustrated from the perspective of indicators and regions. The overall assessment of different tables are compared and their local performance and structural characteristics are analyzed in terms of the features of their developments. Based on the aforementioned study, we provide some suggestions for the construction, management and application of China’s MRIO.

Key words: MRIO, Accounting Function, Accuracy, Assessment Scheme